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15 other industrial 3.7 per cent account and trade account surpluses Bank of Japan capital spending cause market cent rise currency appreciation current account balance current account surplus deflationary impact demand side depreciated deutschmark dollar price domestic demand domestic markets Economic Planning Agency effective exchange rate export and import exporting firm factors floating exchange rate Funabashi Hickok high value-added hysteresis implies income effect increase Index numbers input prices interest rates inverted J-curve J-curve effect Japan's current account Japan's trade surplus Japanese exports macroeconomic Model Economic monetary policy nominal and real nominal effective exchange nominal terms numbers of nominal official discount rate Ohno oil prices period Plaza Accord polarised Japanese firms post-appreciation profit decline real effective exchange short term sogo shosha starting base strong yen supply side terms of trade Tokyo trade balance trade-weighted trading partner countries trillion yen unit labour cost yen appreciation yen terms yen/dollar exchange rate