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actor categories actor group actors is relatively AR-EO AR-MO Argentina assessments BAHAMAS Bayesian analysis Chilean coercive force Colombia Communists conditional probabilities correlation cross-impact analysis demands developed economic conditions elite actors elite-oriented Ethiopia evaluations Expected Relationship Figure hostages hypotheses impact incident indicators initial probability institutional support insurgency intelligence analyst internal Israel ITERATE IVORY COAST judgment justification Left voting Leonid Il'ich letterbombs LIBYA mass-oriented matrix MAURITANIA Middle Eastern military Mozambique multidimensional scaling nations negotiations NUMBER OF TERRORISTS Omitting Comrade panel ranking participants patterns percent Personal Praise Personal Relationship Politburo political support political violence potential for political PR-EO PR-MO problem procedure ransom regime reliability Rhodesia selected skyjackings Socialists statistical subcomponent Sum of variables support for Brezhnev Tanzania targets technique Thailand tion Total References transnational terrorism turmoil Twenty-fifth Party Congress type of violence types of actors URUGUAY validity VICTIMS Yemen