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adaptiveness Afghanistan AFRICOM aircraft alternative strategies Analytic Baseline Army BCTs assessment assumptions bomber budget Build CENTCOM CG(X COCOM COIN column combatant commands Congressional Budget Office counterinsurgency Davis Defend Global strategy defense planning develop Direct GWOT/COIN strategy discount rate effectiveness Enhanced estimate EUCOM evaluations exploratory analysis Figure Force Shifts force structure Foreign assistance Gompert green water squadron ground forces GWOT HALE UAV illustrative Investment option Iraq Islamist Joint Staff Level LG LG LG MALE UAV squadrons measure methodology Middle East missile defense Missile Defense Agency monograph National Command national missile defense North Korea NORTHCOM Notional 20-Year Cost O&S costs objectives operating units PACOM percent perspectives portfolio analysis Programs and Force RAND region resource implications Respond to Rising Rising China strategy scenarios Security assistance ships SOCOM SOUTHCOM strat STRATCOM tive U.S. forces U.S. government U.S. Navy unmanned aerial vehicle USAF Warfighting