Countering the New TerrorismTraces the recent evolution of international terrorism against civilian and U.S. military targets, looks ahead to where terrorism is going, and assesses how it might be contained. The authors consider the threat of information-based terrorism and of weapons of mass destruction, with an emphasis on how changes in the sources and nature of terrorism may affect the use of unconventional terror. The authors propose counterterrorism strategies that address the growing problem of homeland defense. |
Contents
INTRODUCTION | 1 |
Study Approach and Structure | 3 |
TERRORISM TRENDS AND PROSPECTS | 7 |
Terrorisms Changing Characteristics | 8 |
Terrorisms Increasing Lethality | 10 |
Terrorist Tactical Adaptations Across the Technological Spectrum and Their Implications | 28 |
The Example of IRA Targeting of British Forces in Northern Ireland | 31 |
Implications for Antiterrorism and Force Protection | 34 |
Proactive Counterterrorism and the USAF | 77 |
Targeting Terrorists in the Information Age | 80 |
Policy Implications and Conclusions for the USAF | 81 |
COUNTERING THE NEW TERRORISM IMPLICATIONS FOR STRATEGY | 85 |
Understanding and Countering the New Terrorism | 86 |
Terrorism in Strategic Context | 88 |
Indirect Attacks Affecting US Interests | 92 |
Systemic Consequences | 93 |
Conclusion | 35 |
NETWORKS NETWAR AND INFORMATIONAGE TERRORISM | 39 |
Recent Views About Terrorism | 42 |
The Advent of Netwar Analytical Background | 45 |
Definition of Netwar | 47 |
More About Organizational Design | 48 |
Caveats About the Role of Technology | 52 |
Swarming and the Blurring of Offense and Defense | 53 |
Challenges for Counternetwar | 55 |
Middle Eastern Terrorism and Netwar | 56 |
Structure and Actions | 58 |
Middle Eastern Terrorist Groups and the Use of Information Technology | 64 |
Summary Comment | 67 |
Terrorist Doctrines The Rise of a War Paradigm | 68 |
The War Paradigm | 69 |
The NewWorld Paradigm | 71 |
InformationAge Terrorism and the US Air Force | 72 |
Toward a New USAF Strategy for Coping with InformationAge Terrorism | 74 |
Mitigation Measures | 75 |
Terrorism in the War Paradigm | 94 |
Changing Definitions of Security | 96 |
Terrorism and the Conflict Spectrum | 97 |
Future Terrorism Geopolitics | 99 |
Implications for the Future | 110 |
The Lessons and Relevance of Counterterrorism Experience | 111 |
The United Kingdom Experience | 115 |
The French Experience | 117 |
The Israeli Experience | 120 |
Allied Perspectives on Terrorist Challenges Facing the United States | 124 |
Lessons of the Allied Experience | 126 |
Core Strategy | 127 |
Environment Shaping | 134 |
Hedging Strategy | 138 |
Conclusions | 140 |
Implications for Military Strategy and the US Air Force | 142 |
| 145 | |
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