Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment

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Cambridge University Press, Jul 8, 2002 - Psychology - 857 pages
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Is our case strong enough to go to trial? Will interest rates go up? Can I trust this person? Such questions - and the judgments required to answer them - are woven into the fabric of everyday experience. This book, first published in 2002, examines how people make such judgments. The study of human judgment was transformed in the 1970s, when Kahneman and Tversky introduced their 'heuristics and biases' approach and challenged the dominance of strictly rational models. Their work highlighted the reflexive mental operations used to make complex problems manageable and illuminated how the same processes can lead to both accurate and dangerously flawed judgments. The heuristics and biases framework generated a torrent of influential research in psychology - research that reverberated widely and affected scholarship in economics, law, medicine, management, and political science. This book compiles the most influential research in the heuristics and biases tradition since the initial collection of 1982 (by Kahneman, Slovic, and Tversky).
 

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Contents

I
1
II
18
III
19
IV
49
V
82
VI
98
VII
103
VIII
120
XXV
378
XXVI
379
XXVII
397
XXVIII
421
XXIX
441
XXX
474
XXXI
489
XXXII
510

IX
139
X
150
XI
167
XII
185
XIII
201
XIV
217
XV
230
XVI
250
XVII
271
XVIII
292
XIX
313
XXI
324
XXII
334
XXIII
348
XXIV
367
XXXIII
534
XXXIV
548
XXXV
559
XXXVI
582
XXXVII
599
XXXVIII
617
XXXIX
625
XL
636
XLI
666
XLII
678
XLIII
686
XLIV
716
XLV
730
XLVI
749
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About the author (2002)

Daniel Kahneman received the 2002 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for his pioneering work with Amos Tversky on decision-making.

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