## Thinking and DecidingThinking and Deciding has established itself as a required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this, the third edition, Jonathan Baron delves further into many of the key questions addressed in the previous editions. Baron has also revised or expanded his treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Baye's theorem, and moral thinking. By emphasizing decision making, Baron has made Thinking and Deciding, Third Edition more relevant to researchers in applied fields while maintaining its appeal to graduate and undergraduate students. |

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Maybe a book of connection between modern real world, math and econ. Tools, math, econ, problem solving

### Contents

III | 5 |

IV | 6 |

VI | 12 |

VII | 14 |

VIII | 17 |

IX | 29 |

X | 31 |

XI | 34 |

LXXIII | 288 |

LXXV | 302 |

LXXVI | 303 |

LXXVII | 310 |

LXXVIII | 333 |

LXXIX | 335 |

LXXX | 336 |

LXXXI | 337 |

XII | 47 |

XIII | 49 |

XIV | 50 |

XV | 51 |

XVI | 53 |

XVII | 55 |

XVIII | 59 |

XIX | 62 |

XX | 66 |

XXI | 67 |

XXIII | 70 |

XXIV | 72 |

XXV | 74 |

XXVI | 78 |

XXVII | 84 |

XXVIII | 87 |

XXIX | 89 |

XXX | 93 |

XXXI | 96 |

XXXII | 102 |

XXXIII | 104 |

XXXIV | 106 |

XXXV | 109 |

XXXVI | 123 |

XXXVII | 125 |

XXXVIII | 134 |

XXXIX | 147 |

XL | 149 |

XLI | 150 |

XLII | 156 |

XLIII | 171 |

XLIV | 173 |

XLV | 176 |

XLVII | 182 |

XLVIII | 189 |

XLIX | 191 |

L | 192 |

LI | 195 |

LII | 203 |

LIII | 204 |

LIV | 213 |

LV | 218 |

LVI | 219 |

LVII | 223 |

LVIII | 227 |

LIX | 232 |

LX | 238 |

LXI | 243 |

LXII | 245 |

LXIII | 246 |

LXIV | 250 |

LXV | 260 |

LXVI | 263 |

LXVII | 268 |

LXVIII | 273 |

LXIX | 274 |

LXX | 277 |

LXXI | 280 |

LXXII | 282 |

LXXXII | 340 |

LXXXIII | 343 |

LXXXIV | 350 |

LXXXV | 352 |

LXXXVI | 354 |

LXXXVII | 355 |

LXXXVIII | 357 |

LXXXIX | 358 |

XC | 361 |

XCI | 368 |

XCII | 376 |

XCIII | 378 |

XCIV | 380 |

XCV | 381 |

XCVI | 382 |

XCVII | 383 |

XCVIII | 386 |

XCIX | 399 |

C | 405 |

CI | 409 |

CII | 410 |

CIII | 411 |

CIV | 413 |

CV | 417 |

CVI | 425 |

CVII | 426 |

CVIII | 431 |

CIX | 433 |

CX | 434 |

CXI | 438 |

CXII | 441 |

CXIII | 450 |

CXIV | 452 |

CXV | 455 |

CXVII | 459 |

CXVIII | 460 |

CXIX | 463 |

CXX | 465 |

CXXI | 467 |

CXXII | 468 |

CXXIII | 470 |

CXXIV | 480 |

CXXV | 484 |

CXXVI | 485 |

CXXVII | 487 |

CXXVIII | 488 |

CXXIX | 489 |

CXXX | 490 |

CXXXI | 495 |

CXXXII | 507 |

CXXXIII | 508 |

CXXXIV | 511 |

CXXXV | 514 |

CXXXVI | 516 |

519 | |

555 | |

563 | |

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### Common terms and phrases

actively open-minded Allais paradox amount answer argue argument assign assume attributes Baron Bayes's theorem behavior beliefs benefit better bias biases cancer cause Chapter choice choose concerning condition consider cooperation correlation course decision analysis dimension disease effect emotions evaluate evidence example expected utility expected value expected-utility theory experiment favor formula function gamble given harm heuristic hypothesis idea inference intuitions involve irrational judge kind less logic loss means measure method moral normative model normative theory omission bias option outcomes patients personal goals possible predict prescriptive present primacy effect principle prior probability probability judgments probability theory problem prospect theory question rational reason representativeness heuristic result risk risk aversion rule score situation social dilemmas standard gambles subjects were asked Suppose tend things tradeoff true Tversky utilitarianism utility theory vaccine violations winning