How We Know What Isn't SoThomas Gilovich offers a wise and readable guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. When can we trust what we believe—that "teams and players have winning streaks," that "flattery works," or that "the more people who agree, the more likely they are to be right"—and when are such beliefs suspect? Thomas Gilovich offers a guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. Illustrating his points with examples, and supporting them with the latest research findings, he documents the cognitive, social, and motivational processes that distort our thoughts, beliefs, judgments and decisions. In a rapidly changing world, the biases and stereotypes that help us process an overload of complex information inevitably distort what we would like to believe is reality. Awareness of our propensity to make these systematic errors, Gilovich argues, is the first step to more effective analysis and action. |
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... -2 1. Reasoning ( Psychology ) 2. Judgment . 3. Evidence 4. Error . 5. Critical thinking . 6. Fallacies ( Logic ) I. Title . BF442.G55 1991 153.4'3 - dc20 90-26727 CIP To Karen and Ilana Acknowledgments 1. Introduction Contents PART ONE.
... -2 1. Reasoning ( Psychology ) 2. Judgment . 3. Evidence 4. Error . 5. Critical thinking . 6. Fallacies ( Logic ) I. Title . BF442.G55 1991 153.4'3 - dc20 90-26727 CIP To Karen and Ilana Acknowledgments 1. Introduction Contents PART ONE.
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... judgment and reasoning . Several things are clear at the outset . First , people do not hold questionable beliefs simply because they have not been exposed to the relevant evidence . Erroneous beliefs plague both experienced ...
... judgment and reasoning . Several things are clear at the outset . First , people do not hold questionable beliefs simply because they have not been exposed to the relevant evidence . Erroneous beliefs plague both experienced ...
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... judgments and valid beliefs . In tackling this subject of questionable and erroneous beliefs , I continue the efforts of many social and cognitive psychologists who in the past several years have sought to understand the bounded ...
... judgments and valid beliefs . In tackling this subject of questionable and erroneous beliefs , I continue the efforts of many social and cognitive psychologists who in the past several years have sought to understand the bounded ...
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... judgment and merely follow their hopes , the seeds of political manipulation are sown . As individuals and as a society , we should be less accepting of superstition and sloppy thinking , and should strive to develop those " habits of ...
... judgment and merely follow their hopes , the seeds of political manipulation are sown . As individuals and as a society , we should be less accepting of superstition and sloppy thinking , and should strive to develop those " habits of ...
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... judgments stem from basic cognitive processes that are usually quite helpful in accurately perceiving and understanding the world . The structuring and ordering of stimuli is no exception . Ignaz Semmelweis detected a pattern in the ...
... judgments stem from basic cognitive processes that are usually quite helpful in accurately perceiving and understanding the world . The structuring and ordering of stimuli is no exception . Ignaz Semmelweis detected a pattern in the ...
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ability Albert ambiguous asked assess attribute average behavior biased cancer capital punishment cards causes chance Chapter claims clustering illusion cognitive coin flips confirm confirmatory consider discussed disease distortions entertain erroneous beliefs evaluate everyday evidence example existence expect experience fact failure false consensus effect Gilovich happen heterosexual holistic health holistic medicine hot hand hypothesis illusion immune immune system important ineffective influence Journal of Personality judgment less ment mental motivational Nisbett one-sided one's outcomes paranormal parapsychology participants people's performance Personality and Social phenomena phenomenon players predictions problem processes prophecies psychic questionable and erroneous random regression regression fallacy relevant remote viewing response scientific scientists scores secondhand self-fulfilling prophecies self-handicapping sequences shots similar simply skeptical Skeptical Inquirer Soal Social Psychology someone sometimes statistical story strategies streaks subsequent success target tell tend tendency things thought tion tive treatment York