How We Know What Isn't SoThomas Gilovich offers a wise and readable guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. When can we trust what we believe—that "teams and players have winning streaks," that "flattery works," or that "the more people who agree, the more likely they are to be right"—and when are such beliefs suspect? Thomas Gilovich offers a guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. Illustrating his points with examples, and supporting them with the latest research findings, he documents the cognitive, social, and motivational processes that distort our thoughts, beliefs, judgments and decisions. In a rapidly changing world, the biases and stereotypes that help us process an overload of complex information inevitably distort what we would like to believe is reality. Awareness of our propensity to make these systematic errors, Gilovich argues, is the first step to more effective analysis and action. |
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Page 1
... less obsessed with their reproductive failure , and their new - found peace of mind boosts their chances for success . On closer inspection , however , it becomes clear that the remark- able phenomenon we need to explain is not why ...
... less obsessed with their reproductive failure , and their new - found peace of mind boosts their chances for success . On closer inspection , however , it becomes clear that the remark- able phenomenon we need to explain is not why ...
Page 2
... less informed laypeople alike . In this respect , the admissions officials and maternity ward nurses should " know better . " They are professionals . They are in regular contact with the data . But they are mistaken . Nor do people ...
... less informed laypeople alike . In this respect , the admissions officials and maternity ward nurses should " know better . " They are professionals . They are in regular contact with the data . But they are mistaken . Nor do people ...
Page 5
... ( less commonly ) increase sexual potency . As a consequence of this senseless killing , there are now only a few thousand black rhinos left in Africa , and even fewer in Asia and Indonesia.R Unhappily , the rhinoceros is not alone in ...
... ( less commonly ) increase sexual potency . As a consequence of this senseless killing , there are now only a few thousand black rhinos left in Africa , and even fewer in Asia and Indonesia.R Unhappily , the rhinoceros is not alone in ...
Page 6
... less direct price we pay when we tolerate flawed thinking and superstitious belief . It is the familiar problem of the slippery slope : How do we prevent the occasional acceptance of faulty reasoning and erroneous beliefs from ...
... less direct price we pay when we tolerate flawed thinking and superstitious belief . It is the familiar problem of the slippery slope : How do we prevent the occasional acceptance of faulty reasoning and erroneous beliefs from ...
Page 11
... less likely to make his next few shots . The belief in the hot hand , then , is really one version of a wider conviction that " success breeds success " and " failure breeds fail- ure " in many walks of life . In certain areas it surely ...
... less likely to make his next few shots . The belief in the hot hand , then , is really one version of a wider conviction that " success breeds success " and " failure breeds fail- ure " in many walks of life . In certain areas it surely ...
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ability Albert ambiguous asked assess attribute average behavior biased cancer capital punishment cards causes chance Chapter claims clustering illusion cognitive coin flips confirm confirmatory consider discussed disease distortions entertain erroneous beliefs evaluate everyday evidence example existence expect experience fact failure false consensus effect Gilovich happen heterosexual holistic health holistic medicine hot hand hypothesis illusion immune immune system important ineffective influence Journal of Personality judgment less ment mental motivational Nisbett one-sided one's outcomes paranormal parapsychology participants people's performance Personality and Social phenomena phenomenon players predictions problem processes prophecies psychic questionable and erroneous random regression regression fallacy relevant remote viewing response scientific scientists scores secondhand self-fulfilling prophecies self-handicapping sequences shots similar simply skeptical Skeptical Inquirer Soal Social Psychology someone sometimes statistical story strategies streaks subsequent success target tell tend tendency things thought tion tive treatment York