The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before PascalBefore Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654, how did we make reliable predictions? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In this book, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. |
What people are saying - Write a review
We haven't found any reviews in the usual places.
Contents
II | ix |
III | xi |
IV | 1 |
V | 4 |
VI | 6 |
VII | 8 |
VIII | 9 |
IX | 14 |
LVI | 174 |
LVII | 178 |
LVIII | 181 |
LIX | 186 |
LX | 189 |
LXI | 190 |
LXII | 194 |
LXIII | 196 |
X | 18 |
XI | 22 |
XII | 27 |
XIII | 31 |
XIV | 34 |
XV | 35 |
XVI | 37 |
XVII | 41 |
XVIII | 52 |
XIX | 58 |
XX | 59 |
XXI | 63 |
XXII | 70 |
XXIII | 73 |
XXIV | 75 |
XXV | 77 |
XXVI | 78 |
XXVII | 88 |
XXVIII | 96 |
XXIX | 97 |
XXX | 98 |
XXXI | 103 |
XXXII | 108 |
XXXIII | 110 |
XXXIV | 114 |
XXXV | 115 |
XXXVI | 120 |
XXXVII | 121 |
XXXVIII | 123 |
XXXIX | 125 |
XL | 126 |
XLI | 127 |
XLII | 128 |
XLIII | 132 |
XLIV | 134 |
XLV | 139 |
XLVI | 141 |
XLVII | 148 |
XLVIII | 156 |
LI | 158 |
LII | 159 |
LIII | 166 |
LIV | 169 |
LV | 171 |
LXIV | 197 |
LXV | 200 |
LXVI | 204 |
LXVII | 210 |
LXVIII | 211 |
LXIX | 216 |
LXX | 222 |
LXXI | 224 |
LXXII | 226 |
LXXIII | 227 |
LXXIV | 229 |
LXXV | 231 |
LXXVI | 236 |
LXXVII | 243 |
LXXVIII | 252 |
LXXIX | 253 |
LXXX | 255 |
LXXXI | 256 |
LXXXII | 263 |
LXXXIII | 266 |
LXXXIV | 267 |
LXXXV | 272 |
LXXXVI | 277 |
LXXXVII | 279 |
LXXXVIII | 283 |
XC | 285 |
XCI | 290 |
XCII | 294 |
XCIII | 296 |
XCIV | 300 |
XCV | 307 |
XCVI | 310 |
XCVII | 315 |
XCVIII | 320 |
XCIX | 324 |
C | 334 |
CI | 337 |
CII | 342 |
CIII | 356 |
CIV | 359 |
CV | 367 |
CVI | 379 |
481 | |
Other editions - View all
Common terms and phrases
according accused Ages ancient answer appear argues argument Aristotle authority believe called Cambridge canon cause century certainty chance chapter church clear concepts concerning conclusion considered contract developed dice Digest discussion doubt early effect English equal evidence example exist expected experience explain fact follow further give given happen History ideas induction inference interest involved Journal judge kind knowledge known later least less Letters logic London mathematical matter means medieval method moral nature necessary observations opinion original Paris Pascal Philosophy possible practice present presumption principle probability problem proof propositions proved question quoted reason result Rhetoric risk Roman rules Scholastic seems side signs similar Studies taken theory things thought throws tion torture trans true truth witnesses writes York